2019 All-Ireland Predictions: Round 1

Following on from the 2019 league predictions, the following details the BAINISTEOIR v2 predictions for the All-Ireland. Prior to each round, the All-Ireland is simulated, and each team’s overall performance is predicted. Additionally, the odds for each individual upcoming match are calculated. Following on from round 1, the results will be included in each update, and they’ll be compared to the computer predictions.

Current All-Ireland odds

The charts below display each team’s odds of achieving each final outcome in the All-Ireland; based on a simulation which is run 1000 times, it shows what percentage of the time they won, were runners-up, reached the semi-finals, reached the quarter-finals, reached the preliminary round, failed to progress to the knock-out stages, and were relegated from their group.

The charts below display each team’s odds of winning the All-Ireland, and their starting groups of Leinster, Munster or the Joe McDonagh, following each round of the All-Ireland.

Round 1 predictions

Below is the BAINISTEOIR v2 rating system’s predictions for the upcoming matches. As well as the All-Ireland, it also includes games in the lower tier tournaments; the Christy Ring, Nicky Rackard and Lory Meagher cups. It displays each team’s odds of winning, losing or drawing their match, as well as the scoreline the system considers the most likely.

Leinster

73.7%
22.2%
1-20 (23) Kilkenny
-
Dublin 1-17 (20)
95.5%
3.3%
2-21 (27) Galway
-
Carlow 0-14 (14)

Munster

59.6%
35.4%
1-20 (23) Waterford
-
Clare 1-19 (22)
56.5%
38.4%
1-24 (21) Cork
-
Tipperary 1-20 (23)

Joe McDonagh

46.7%
48.1%
2-16 (22) Antrim
-
Kerry 1-17 (20)
43.2%
51.7%
2-17 (23) Offaly
-
Laois 1-18 (21)

Christy Ring Group 1

68.3%
26.9%
2-17 (23) Down
-
Derry 1-16 (19)
40.0%
54.8%
1-16 (19) Donegal
-
Wicklow 2-16 (22)

Christy Ring Group 2

36.3%
58.5%
1-15 (18) Roscommon
-
Kildare 2-16 (22)
62.8%
32.3%
2-18 (24) Meath
-
London 1-16 (19)

Nicky Rackard Group 1

48.3%
46.6%
2-14 (20) Armagh
-
Monaghan 2-14 (20)
50.9%
43.8%
2-15 (21) Longford
-
Warwickshire 2-15 (21)

Nicky Rackard Group 2

39.6%
55.3%
2-13 (19) Louth
-
Sligo 2-14 (20)
59.0%
35.7%
2-15 (21) Tyrone
-
Mayo 1-15 (18)