BAINISTEOIR League Predictions

The following tables detail each teams' odds on how likely they are to win or lose their division of the 2018 league, as well as its odds for teams in 1A and 1B reaching the various knockout stages of division 1. These odds are based on a simulation of all league matches, based on each teams' BAINISTEOIR rating.

(Last updated 1-Nov-17)

League Champion Odds

Rank Team Win Runner-up Semi-finalist Quarter-finalist Fails to qualify
1 Galway 36.43% 01.87% 80.15% 100% 00%
2 Tipperary 34.37% 25.45% 87.33% 95.1% 04.9%
3 Kilkenny 17.73% 27.63% 81.89% 95.01% 04.99%
4 Waterford 10.5% 23.43% 67.57% 88.3% 11.7%
5 Clare 00.51% 09.68% 31.92% 49.68% 50.32%
6 Cork 00.41% 07.69% 20.1% 49.11% 50.89%
7 Limerick 00.02% 01.84% 17.36% 99.93% 00.07%
8 Wexford 00.02% 01.37% 05.98% 22.8% 77.2%
9 Dublin 00.01% 01.04% 07.67% 99.16% 00.84%
10 Antrim 00% 00% 00% 06.29% 93.71%
11 Laois 00% 00% 00% 25.48% 74.52%
12 Offaly 00% 00% 00.03% 69.14% 30.86%

Division 1A Odds

Rank Team Table topping odds Relegation odds
1 Waterford 32.38% 03.92%
2 Kilkenny 30.51% 02.16%
3 Tipperary 29.88% 00.79%
4 Clare 03.49% 20.6%
5 Cork 03.28% 17.4%
6 Wexford 00.46% 55.13%

Division 1B Odds

Rank Team Promotion odds Relegation odds
1 Galway 95.47% 00%
2 Limerick 02.36% 00%
3 Dublin 02.16% 00.06%
4 Offaly 00.01% 14.97%
5 Antrim 00% 46.4%
6 Laois 00% 38.57%

Division 2A Odds

Rank Team Promotion odds Relegation odds
1 Carlow 46.39% 03.03%
2 Kerry 31.31% 06.24%
3 Westmeath 12.62% 14.14%
4 Meath 08.9% 10.29%
5 Kildare 00.72% 54.53%
6 London 00.06% 11.77%

Division 2B Odds

Rank Team Promotion odds Relegation odds
1 Wicklow 60.98% 00.11%
2 Down 19.37% 00.26%
3 Derry 15.04% 02.77%
4 Mayo 03.36% 11.3%
5 Armagh 01.25% 05.5%
6 Donegal 00% 80.06%

Division 3A Odds

Rank Team Promotion odds Relegation odds
1 Roscommon 72.01% 00.02%
2 Tyrone 25.26% 00.19%
3 Monaghan 02.01% 05.83%
4 Warwickshire 00.6% 11.78%
5 Longford 00.11% 13.11%
6 Louth 00.01% 69.07%

Division 3B Odds

Rank Team Promotion odds Bottom place odds
1 Sligo 68.67% 00.99%
2 Leitrim 16.16% 13.99%
3 Cavan 09.75% 17.25%
4 Fermanagh 04.36% 46.65%
5 Lancashire 01.06% 21.12%

Odds histories by division